Sharp employment increase in India!

The year 2009 saw loss of jobs all over US and Europe. India was not hit by the recession as hard as US but it also went through a phase of stagnation in term of employment opportunities. The new openings were very very rare throughout India in the first 3 quarters of 2009. But as the clouds of recession seem to be clearing ( or at least everyone feels that way..) Indian companies have again started hiring in bulk!

The retail industry, metals and manufacturing industry along with IT has seen a wave of new job openings in the past 2 months. The stabilizing of retail industry in US is aiding the textile industry in India to win some orders and thus is also making some significant hiring. In the previous quarter the textile sector witnessed maximum loss of jobs of about 1.52 lakh followed by IT which was around 0.38 lakh. 

It is expected that India will have about 5 lakh+ job openings in the first quarter of 2010 itself. And year 2010 will be opening new jobs and added perks to the people who are already in jobs. More jobs in the economy drives everything as more jobs means more work and more work means more profitability!

Great Reading - THE INDIAN ELECTIONS!

This is what The NewYork Times is speaking about Indian elections.... it's very well said...please read.

It is truly the greatest show on Earth, an ode to a diverse and democratic ethos, where 700 million + of humanity vote, providing theirsmall part in directing their ancient civilization into the future. Itis no less impressive when done in a neighborhood which includesde-stabilizing and violent Pakistan, China, and Burma.

Its challenges are immense, more so probably than anywhere else, particularly in development and fending off terrorism -- but consideringthese challenges and its neighbors, it is even more astounding that themost diverse nation on Earth, with hundreds of languages, all religionsand cultures, is not only surviving, but thriving.

The nation where Hinduism, Buddhism, Jainism, and Sikhism were born,which is the second largest Muslim nation on Earth; where Christianity has existed for 2000 years; where the oldest Jewish synagogues andJewish communities have resided since the Romans burnt their 2nd temple;where the Dalai Lama and the Tibetan government in exile reside; wherethe Zorostrians from Persia have thrived since being thrown out of theirancient homeland; where Armenians and Syrians and many others have tocome live; where the Paris-based OECD said was the largest economy onEarth for 1500 of the last 2000 years, including the 2nd largest, only200 years ago; where 3 Muslim Presidents have been elected, where a Sikhis Prime Minister and the head of the ruling party a Catholic Italian woman, where the President is also a woman, succeeding a Muslim President who as a rocket scientist is a hero in the nation; where abooming economy is lifting 40 million out of poverty each year and isexpected to have the majority of its population in the middle classalready, equal to the entire US population, by 2025; where its optimismand vibrancy is manifested in its movies, arts, economic growth, and voting, despite all the incredible challenges and hardships; where all the great powers are vying for influence, as it itself finds its place in the world.

Where all of this is happening, is India, and as greater than 1/10th ofhumanity gets ready to vote, it is an inspiration to all the World.

- V Mitchell, New York, NY

World Bank OKs $400 mln for small firms in India!

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The World Bank on Thursday approved $400 million in funding to help small and medium-sized enterprises in India cope with the global credit crisis.

The loan will be made to the Small Industries Development Bank of India (SIDBI), which will make available financing to small and medium-sized companies that are finding it hard to get access to credit. It will also go toward refinancing banks and other institutions that lend to small and medium-sized enterprises, known as SMEs.

"This project is part of a larger program of support in response to the government of India request for funding in light of the financial crisis," said Roberto Zagha, World Bank country director for India.

"It is targeted particularly at SMEs, to help address the credit slowdown that has resulted from the financial crisis," he added.

Zagha said credit growth to SMEs has fallen over the last year, which has affected overall growth and development.

TATA's face Singur farmers: But what's the exact problem in Singur?

TATA MOTORS is facing tough opposition from the Singur farmers (Singur is a village in West Bengal) where it wants to set up the manufacturing plant for the production of the world's cheapest car - TATA's 1 lakh car- TATA NANO. Singur farmers are not ready to give there land even after compensation of about Rs:8 lakh per acre of land and even more for farms which produce 3 crops/year, or which have plots nearer the main road and fields that have tubewells sunk in them. The issue has now taken a form of agitation and TATA is facing wrath of it. According to the The Times Of India TM people from Trinamol Congress have threatened TATA officials and people who work in a small plant set up there to physically prevent from entering plant, and according to the fresh news 5 hours back TATA has decided to move out its 800 employees out of singur plant.

The farmers complain about 2 things - first is about the low compensation and the second is about the lack of faith in getting the promised money from government - and from my point of view these are truely issues worth talking about! This is what one of the farmer Prasenjit Das in Khaserbheri village says "What use is cash to me? Putting money in the bank and earning interest is not enough, especially looking at the rising inflation. With land, my asset remains intact and what I earn from selling my produce is a bonus." Das has another argument to press his case: "Even if the government promises to give me a job, it fails to secure my children's future." - perfect! I agree with him! Why not...nice to see that villagers and farmers- heart of India are understanding the economic factors and inflation concepts.

The question is about the land spanning 997 acres of land, and farmers aren't sure whether government will give them the promised money or not. According to Hindu Business Line article on Nov 16th 2007 -> "The acquisition of the entire 895 acres of private land is virtually complete. Each of the landowners has given his consent to acquisition at prices which are much higher than the prevailing rates. We have already disbursed payments for 550 acres and the rest will be completed within this month," the State Commerce and Industry Minister, Mr Nirupam Sen, told media persons.. So, today is 31st Aug, 2008 - it's been 9 months after this statement from Mr.Nirupam Sen and still the payments aren't in the hands of farmers..? If yes then they shouldn't be agitating and if no then the governemnt has to answer why farmers haven't been paid uptill now?

If TATA decides to withdraw now, they will suffer losses of about Rs:150 crore - and they need to withdraw as per the prevailing conditions in the Singur. While the West Bengal government gets ready to acquire close to 50,000 acres all over the state for a slew of SEZs, ports, roads and so on, it should be a good idea to look at this other side of the story.

This wraps up the complete story till now behind the fight for land, the business people on one side, farmers on others and government in between - who's to blame?? This is not only in Singur, this problem is in many parts of the country since the developments of SEZ's have starting gaining pace.. what's the solution...? Expres yourself in comments...

With Help From Sources: RediffNews, HinduBusinessLine, EconomicTimes.

Franchise Business in India

India is called a developing country, as we don't have another classification as a rapidly developing country. Let me today put some light on India in the franchise business.(Hey hey if you don't know what franchise business is and what exactly you should do to own a fanchisee then you should first read : What is a franchise business??.) The Franchise business isn't new in India and it's early days date back to 1990's. Today India has many franchise businesses of foriegn brands like KFC, McDonald's, Holiday Inn, Gold's Gym, Marks and Spencers and they have reached not only first tier but also many second tier cities in India and they are running successfully.

After 1990 the franchise business has boomed by leaps and bounds and there are many success stories to tell. Franchise business industry in India records a growth of 30%-35% per year from the past 5 years. And yes why not, because the core thing for any business to be succesful is the customers. And India has lot of it- and the world knows this, as a result many multi national companies are happy to offer franchise to Indian businessmans. One of the latest offering I know is of "beard papa's" from Japan. They are an international quality brand when it comes to cream puff's and they are inviting Master Franchisees.

The 4 sectors which have show the most rapid growth in franchise business in India are telecom sector, food sector, retail sector and education sector. These are all poised to grow with rate above 40% per annum atleast for the next 5-6 years. Food and retail sector have seen tremendous growth because the spending power of indian middle class is increasing. Read a splendid article about India's retail sector - India's retail sector is Boooooming...??.

Apart from these 4 sectors, the brewerage industry,health,beauty, and tourism are next to sparkle. India has favourable conditions for any fresh business to florish, also the competition is not as intense as in US and there are a lot of customers-hope you know that India is second largest in population- you don't need to be the king of your sector, you can be not even in top 10 but still you business may grow by leaps and bounds and you will have good profit margin. Couple this with the low rate of francise failure in India and significant return of investment and you will realise India's potential in franchise businesses.

Can world’s cheapest car – Tata’s 1lakh car- co-exist with prestigious brands like Jaguar and Land Rover?

A particular motor vehicle company is seen to concentrate mainly on one range of products, be it Toyota, Nissan or BMW, they are known for a particular category of cars. As the world now knows TATA MOTORS is out to create the world’s cheapest car! It will cost INR 1 lakh. That is equal to around US$2700 only!

But, Tata Sons Chairman Ratan Tata has said it is possible for the world's cheapest car to co-exist with prestigious brands like Jaguar and Land Rover despite an image disparity. He says if the brands like Nissan and BMW have the mini versions of cars why can’t TATA MOTORS, and he is pretty confident about this. Toyota has “Lexus” and Nissan has “Infini” and BMW has its “mini”. So, the market competitors are now trying to prove their skills in other range of their products and why not?? It’s getting them more business; they are giving low price cars to the people, which is good for a common man to fulfill his dream of having a car; and the makers are world renowned market leaders so the quality can be assured.


The world is waiting to catch a glimpse of the much touted Tata’s 1 lakh car, which would be unveiled at the Auto Expo in New Delhi on January 10. The car market is said to experience the decade’s greatest metamorphosis after the actual on-road launch of this highly spoken Tata’s 1 lakh car.

What are p-notes? - restiction on which caused SENSEX to fall 1744points on 17th Aug,2007 and Market closed for an hour!

The 30-share index, SENSEX; which reached a life-time high this week, crashed 1744 points, after the SEBI put up its suggestion late on Tuesday evening. The market was closed for an hour. The p-Notes are said be behind the hugh surge in foreign inflows, which caused the latest market rally. "The steps taken by SEBI are in the right direction," the Finance Minister P.Chidambaram said. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) on Tuesday proposed to tighten the rules for purchase of shares and bonds in Indian companies through the participatory note (p-Note) route. The move is aimed at arresting the surge in foreign inflows through p-notes.

So, what are these p-notes? Why such a havoc about them? What makes them so special? P-Notes are financial instruments used by investors or hedge funds that are not registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India to invest in Indian securities. Indian-based brokerages buy India-based securities and then issue participatory notes to foreign investors. Any dividends or capital gains collected from the underlying securities go back to the investors. Participatory notes are like contract notes. These are issued by FIIs to entities that want to invest in the Indian stock market but do not want to register themselves with the SEBI. SEBI was not very happy about participatory notes because they have no way to know who owns the underlying securities, it feared that hedge funds acting through participatory notes will cause economic volatility in India's exchanges.

I feel that this step taken by the SEBI is good step towards improving clarity of FII investments. Many are saying this should have been done a lot before, say 6-7 years back. But at that time p-notes were not that much a highly weighted investment instrument by the FII. As a report says "the notional value of PNs has zoomed from 20% of FII/sub-account assets in March 2004 to 51.6% in August 2007, in other words from Rs 31,875 crore to Rs 3,53,484 crore!". While FIIs were net investors to the tune of $8.5 billion during the last calendar year, expectations are that they would invest close to $12 billion this year. This would take the market's exposure to P-Notes to over $5 billion, if the same ratio were maintained for the next three months.

What exactly were the restrictions put by SEBI on p-Notes - check out in next post.

India's Retail Sector is Booooming...?

Retail in India has gained a surprising importance in past year as we see many corporate gaints investing in billions into this sector. India has topped the AT Kearney’s annual Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) for the third consecutive year, maintaining its position as the most attractive market for retail investment. The Indian retail market -- one of India's fastest growing industries -- is expected to grow from US$ 350 billion to US$ 427 billion by 2010. According to Euromonitor International, the Indian Retail market will grow in value terms by a total of 39.6 per cent between 2006 and 2011, averaging growth of almost 7 per cent a year.

The food Retail and Mobile Retail is growing at a high pace. Reliance Retail, a subsidiary of Mumbai-based petroleum gaint Reliance Industries, has opened around 100 fruit and vegetable stores under "Reliance Fresh" brand in less than a year, already invested around Rs:2500 crore (US$ 0.637 billion!) and plans to invest about Rs:90,000 crore ($22.99 billion!) in setting up retails stores in various formats- hyper markets-supermarkets, speciality stores, discount stores...etc. Also Bharti Wal-Mart is setting up itself to enter into this sector soon. So look out for more billion dollar investments in these sector in comming year 2008.

Reading all this how's you feeling? Mind blowing reports with huge numbers about India's Retail sector, feeling great? Read next.....

Very few people think of the other part. The government decision on January 24 allows up to 51 percent foreign direct investment (FDI) in “single brand” retail stores. Nike, Nokia or Levi can establish stores, but multi-brand retailers such as Wal-Mart and Carrefour are excluded, for now. Commerce and Industry Minister Kamal Nath told the leaders of the world’s richest corporations that India was seeking to increase its FDI to $US10 billion by 2006-2007, up from the $6.5 billion invested in 2005.Retail activities such as door-to-door selling, street carts and market stalls, act as a last resort for the unemployed, given the lack of jobs in manufacturing and agriculture. Many in the retail trade are living below the poverty line. A report published in December 2004 by the Centre for Policy Alternatives (CPAS) entitled “FDI in India’s Retail Sector: More Bad than Good” stated that retailing is “probably the primary form of disguised unemployment/underemployment in the country”.The report continued: “Given the already over-crowded agricultural sector, and the stagnating manufacturing sector, and the hard nature and relatively low wages of jobs in both, many million Indians are virtually forced into the services sector. Here, given the lack of opportunities, it is almost a natural decision for an individual to set up a small shop or store, depending on his or her means or capital. And thus a retailer is born, seemingly out of circumstance rather than choice.” The report is spelndid, you can view it here :- http://72.14.253.104/search?q=cache:eZn1OLJE7PcJ:indiafdiwatch.org/fileadmin/India_site/10-FDI-Retail-more-bad.pdf+retail+sector+in+india&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=13&gl=in

Although the Indian government hails foreign investment as an economic boon, the growth has largely benefitted the wealthy to the detriment of large sections of workers, small business and farmers. The opening up of the Indian economy and deregulation has resulted in substantial public sector job cuts, the destruction of industries, land seizures and cuts to food and fuel subsidies. There are approximately 40 million people and 11 million outlets in India’s retail sector. Many of these are marginal businesses—small shops and stalls, street vendors and hawkers—which will be destroyed by competition from large retail outlets and chains. Many people, who have no alternate source of income or work, will be left completely destitute.

(I have written this article with lot of research. I want to know your comments over this.Thank you.)

India iron ore sales to China drying up...

Place: Mumbai

India's once vibrant iron ore exports to China have slowed to a trickle because of a crippling export duty imposed by New Delhi, and orders may dry up entirely if world prices retreat from recent highs.The policy move may leave Indian ore producers, who have been expanding production in the hope of more overseas sales, struggling with surplus material, as Chinese buyers shift their focus to relatively cheaper cargoes from Australia and Brazil.

"There is buying, but it is quite subdued. They are really quite wary," said Rahul N Baldota, vice-president of the Federation of Indian Mineral Industries.

Orders from China, which buys nearly two-thirds of India's iron ore exports, are vanishing after the government slapped an export duty of 300 rupees, or $7.21, per tonne in this year's federal budget.The Indian government, after intensive lobbying by the country's booming steel industry, is trying to discourage exports of the commodity to protect against over exploitation of the resource.Nearly 80 percent of India's exports of iron ore are fines, which need to be made into pellets or sintered before being used in steel mills blast furnaces.Since few Indian mills have the processing facility for using iron ore fines, piles of the commodity, the powdery raw material that comes out along with high-grade iron ore lumps, have started accumulating near the mines, said Sidharth Rungta, president of Rungta Mines Ltd.

Small shipments were still being sold to China as the country was straining to buy cargoes from Australia because of port congestions, which has pushed up world prices by $8 to $65 a tonne for medium-grade ore.This has so far kept Indian prices competitive, despite the new export tax, but prices are expected to fall back soon, traders and analysts said. India is currently offering iron ore fines at around $60 per tonne, free-on-board.

"The congestion in Australia is only a temporary phenomenon. The signs are that it will be over soon and international prices will fall again. It could take the wind out of whatever is remaining of India's exports," said Baldota.Traders said the landed cost of iron ore imports from Australia was at $85-90 a tonne and prices could ease by $10 once the port congestion ease.

BUYERS ABSENT

China's iron ore imports in the first three months rose 23.4 percent to 100.19 million tonnes, customs figures showed.In March, China imported a record 9.84 million tonnes of iron ore from India, despite the introduction of the export tax, as most of the cargoes were contracted before the tax was announced. But Chinese imports of Indian iron ore are likely to halve in April, compared with March figures.

A Shanghai trader said he was seeing some Indian ore traded in the Chinese market, but volumes had dropped substantially.An official at the China Chamber of Commerce of Metals, Minerals and Chemicals Importers and Exporters said Chinese mills were not signing fresh contracts to buy Indian ore.While international iron ore prices were high now, Rungta said he was not bullish in the longer term as Brazil and Australia were expanding mining capacities.

"These are bound to put pressure on Indian exports," Rungta said.

Senior ore industry officials, who did not want to be identified, said that they were hopeful that the government would soften the blow from the iron ore export duty as a high-level panel was reviewing the move.

India - Pakistan Trade Surges...

ISLAMABAD: Trade between India and Pakistan is surging despite problems in movement of goods and people. Pakistan registered a six-fold hike in its exports to India in the last five years. It is expected to go up further with new trade concessions announced by India last week. Bilateral trade swelled from $235.74 million in 2001-02 to more than $1 billion last fiscal year. The balance of trade remains in India's favour.

In recent times, India and Pakistan have opened banks in each other's territory, resumed shipping services and improved cross-border road and rail transport. According to a trade analyst, the share of Pakistan's exports to India in overall exports increased from a mere 0.5 percent in 2001-02 to 1.8 percent in 2005-06."This is a six-time increase in Pakistan's exports to India in the last five years," an official of the Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry said. Pakistan's exports to India have increased from less than $50 million in 2001-02 to about $300 million in 2005-06.

Simultaneously, Indian exports to Pakistan too surged from $186.52 million to $802 million, up from 1.8 percent to 2.8 percent Pakistan's global imports. In these five years the balance of bilateral trade remained in favour of India. In 2005-06, it rose up to more than $500 million.
Pakistan supplied chickpeas, pulses, grains and sugar when these were in short supply in India. India supplied onions, potatoes, pulses and other food items to Pakistan. India's exports of engineering goods now exceed $10 billion. Pakistan meets its 25-30 percent requirements of engineering products from imports. India can be a good source of engineering products with freight advantage and relatively quick delivery and after-sales service.